Jihadists of the Islamic State, strengthened by their participation in Syria’s civil war and allied with other Sunni militias, claimed control of the Iraqi city Fallujah in January 2014. In June the group began conquering additional terrain in Iraq and Syria, capturing territory roughly the size of the U.K., threatening Baghdad and provoking the U.S. to launch a military coalition to defeat it. Extreme in its interpretation of Islamic law, Islamic State is far outside Iraq’s Sunni mainstream. Yet some residents welcomed the group as an alternative to the central government, widely regarded among Sunnis as oppressive. Iraq’s other factions mobilized in response. Shiite militias from the south, ubiquitous and violent during the U.S. occupation, were reactivated. The Kurdish armed force, the Peshmerga, seized control of Kirkuk, an oil-rich city over which the Kurds have long fought the central government. Kurdish leaders vowed to hold an independence referendum, once they could focus on something other than fighting Islamic State. Of Iraq’s 35 million people, 55 percent are Shiite Arabs, 19 percent are Sunni Arabs and 21 percent are Kurds.
Iraq is composed of three Ottoman provinces captured by the British in World War I. In 1920, the League of Nations created the British-administered Mandate for Iraq, and Iraq became an independent country in 1932. A coup ended the British-installed monarchy in 1958 and another brought the Arab nationalist Baath Party to power in 1963. Saddam Hussein rose from the Baath ranks to the presidency in 1979, his rule marked by brutality and Sunni chauvinism. In the northeast, Kurds aspired to an independent Kurdistan joining them with their brethren in Syria, Turkey and Iran. The south was dominated by Shiites, a branch of Islam dating to the 7th century when the Prophet Mohammed’s followers divided over who were his rightful successors. Sunnis formed the majority in central Iraq. British authorities planted the seeds of the modern conflict between the sects when, following the practice of the Sunni Ottomans, they named Sunnis to senior posts. This led after independence to Sunni-dominated governments that viciously put down Kurdish and Shiite rebellions. The U.S. reversed matters, destroying national institutions like the Baath Party and the army and handing authority to a Shiite-led transitional government with links to Shiite Iran. Its successor, the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, harassed Sunni politicians, mowed down Sunni protesters and denied Sunnis government and military positions. In September 2014, Maliki stepped down and was replaced by Haidar al-Abadi, who promised to rule more inclusively.
As a senator in 2006, Vice President Joe Biden proposed splitting Iraq into three regions, each responsible for domestic laws and internal security (the central government would manage border defense, foreign affairs and oil revenue). Some foreign affairs specialists agreed, with a few suggesting moving toward three separate states. Either approach would be messy, which explains why the U.S. has insisted on a central government that can unite the factions. What would be done in a split nation about mixed-population cities, notably Baghdad? Biden proposed making the capital a federal city and protecting the other cities with an international police force. What countries would volunteer for that kind of duty today? Economic viability for the Sunni area is another challenge. Iraq’s government derives 97 percent of its revenue from oil, and most of the production is in Shiite areas. The Kurds are developing their reserves, but the Sunnis have few. Dividing Iraq could also fuel sectarian conflicts in other Middle Eastern countries.
The Reference Shelf
- Political scientist Charles R.H. Tripp tells Iraq’s story from Ottoman times through the 2006 civil war in his classic book, “A History of Iraq.”
- Middle East scholar Vali R. Nasr traces sectarian conflict in the Islamic world in his book, “The Shia Revival.”
- The Congressional Research Service released an overview of politics, governance and human rights in Iraq.
- Human Rights Watch reported on the Saddam Hussein regime’s brutal campaigns against Iraqi Kurds and Shiites.