Happy Birthday to John Paciorek, 69.

Right to the good stuff:

Seth Masket looks at Hillary Clinton’s prospects.

More good reporting from Kentucky on those who hate Barack Obama but love the insurance they’re getting on the exchanges. By Perry Bacon.

Nathan Gonzales explains how both parties work around rules barring coordination between candidates and outside groups. The bottom line? As long as the first amendment covers political activities (as it should, in my view), political parties and interest groups will find ways to adapt to whatever reformers throw at them. Which doesn’t mean reforms will have no effect, but they’re not going to achieve the goal of getting money or organized groups out of politics.

Ta-Nehisi Coates on Michael Sam and the NFL.

I didn’t know there was an ongoing fight over white potatoes and WIC. Zoe Neuberger brings us up to date.

And Rob Neyer is now at Fox Sports, and kicks it off there with an essay that he says is about certainty and uncertainty. Which it is, but another way to put it is that what counts is whether one is open to evidence or not. I’m going to swipe his last three paragraphs (and, no, they’re not really about either Jack Morris or baseball):

You might, after reading that, continue to argue that Morris was an incredible BIG-GAME PITCHER. It’s just that none of the rest of us have any reason to believe you, if you’re not willing to define BIG GAME in a meaningful way, or bring other pitchers into the discussion. Yes, that’s a lot of work. But if you’re not willing to do that work, your opinion about Jack Morris is … well, it really is just an opinion. Chuck Tanner was talking about you.
And about me, sometimes. Nobody’s rigorous every time. But in this space, when asking for your time and your attention and maybe a bit of your trust, I owe you the elementary courtesy of proof ... and yes, also the admission that I am often uncertain and uncomfortable.
We’ll never know everything about anything. But if we’re honest about what we don’t know, we can keep inching closer to where we’d like to be.

To contact the writer of this article: Jbernstein62@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this article: Francis Wilkinson at fwilkinson1@bloomberg.net.